Publications

Rudmann KC, Cooper G, Marjuki H, Reingold A, Barnes M, Petit S, Moore A, Harrison LH, Lynfield R, Khanlian SA, Anderson BJ, Martin T, Schaffner W, McNamara LA, Rubis AB. Meningococcal Disease in Persons with HIV Reported Through Active Surveillance in the United States, 2009–2019. Open Forum Infectious Diseases, 2024;, ofad696,https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad696.

Sandford R, Yadav R, Noble EK, Sumner K, Joshi D, Tartof SY, Wernli KJ, Martin ET, Gaglani M, Zimmerman RK, Talbot HK, Grijalva CG, Belongia EA, Carlson C, Coughlin M, Flannery B, Pearce B, Rogier E. Antibody response to symptomatic infection with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant viruses, December 2021-June 2022. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Nov 18:2023.11.17.23298700. doi: 10.1101/2023.11.17.23298700. PMID: 38014151; PMCID: PMC10680903.

Raabe NJ, Valek AL, Griffith MP, Mills E, Waggle K, Srinivasa VR, Ayres AM, Bradford C, Creager HM, Pless LL, Sundermann AJ, Tyne DV, Snyder GM, Harrison LH. Real-Time Genomic Epidemiologic Investigation of a Multispecies Plasmid-Associated Hospital Outbreak of NDM-5-Producing Enterobacterales Infections. Int J Infect Dis. 2024 Feb 17:S1201-9712(24)00041-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2024.02.014. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 38373647.

Marios P, and Rahimian MA. Group Decision-Making among Privacy-Aware Agents. arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.08156 (2024).

Valek AL, Srinivasa VR, Ayres AM, Cheung S, Harrison LH, Snyder GM. Incidence and transmission associated with respiratory viruses in an acute care facility: An observational study | Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology.Incidence and transmission associated with respiratory viruses in an acute care facility: An observational study. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2024 Feb 14:1-3. doi: 10.1017/ice.2024.25. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 38351601.

Waggle KD, Griffith MP, Rokes AB, Srinivasa VR, Ereifej D, Patrick R, Coyle H, Chaudhary S, Raabe NJ, er J. Sundermann AJ, Cooper VS, Harrison LH, Pless LL. (2024). Methods for cost-efficient, whole genome 2 sequencing surveillance for enhanced detection of 3 outbreaks in a hospital setting.  medRxiv preprint, doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.02.16.24302955.

Altawalbeh SM, Wateska AR, Nowalk MP, Lin CJ, Harrison LH, Schaffner W, Zimmerman RK, Smith KJ. Pneumococcal vaccination strategies in 50-year-olds to decrease racial disparities: a US societal perspective cost-effectiveness analysis. Value Health. 2024 Mar 8:S1098-3015(24)00094-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2024.02.021. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 38462225.

Sumetsky N, Brooks MM, Buchanich J, Molina B, Mair C. Changes in six categories of alcohol-attributable mortality from before to during the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic. J Stud Alcohol Drugs. 2024 Mar 14. doi: 10.15288/jsad.23-00187. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 38483242.

Niu S, Zhu X, Chen R, Winchell A, Gao P, Barchowsky A, Buchanich JM, Ng C. Personal Wearable Sampler for Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances Exposure Assessment. Environmental Science & Technology Letters Article ASAP. DOI: 10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00026.

Ahmed AA, Rahimian MA, Roberts MS. Optimized Model Selection for Estimating Treatment Effects from Costly Simulations of the US Opioid Epidemic. arXiv:2403.15755. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2403.15755.

Morrison, CN, Mair CF, Bates L, Duncan DT, Branas CC, Bushover BR, Mehranbod CA, Gobaud AN, Uong S, Forrest S, Roberts L, Rundle AG. Defining Spatial Epidemiology: A Systematic Review and Re-Orientation. Epidemiology ():10.1097/EDE.0000000000001738, March 22, 2024. | DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001738.

Altawalbeh SM, Wateska AR, Nowalk MP, Lin CJ, Harrison LH, Schaffner W, Zimmerman RK, Smith KJ. Cost-effectiveness of an in-development adult-formulated 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US adults aged 50 years or older. Vaccine, 2024, ISSN 0264-410X, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.04.002.

Alarid-Escudero F, Krijkamp E, Enns EA, Yang A, Hunink MGM, Pechlivanoglou P, Jalal H. "A tutorial on time-dependent cohort state-transition models in r using a cost-effectiveness analysis example." Medical Decision Making. 2023;43(1):21-41. doi:10.1177/0272989X221121747.

Krauland M, Zimmerman RK, Raviotta JM, Harrison LH, Williams JV, Roberts, MS. "Agent-based model of the impact of higher influenza vaccine efficacy on seasonal influenza burden." Vaccine X. 2023. JVACX-D-22-00049. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvacx.2022.100249.

Lönn SL, Krauland MG, Fagan AA, Sundquist J, Sundquist K, Roberts MS, Kendler KS. "The Impact of the Good Behavior Game on Risk for Drug Use Disorder in an Agent-Based Model of Southern Sweden." Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs (Accepted).

Ahmed AA, Rahimian MA, Roberts MS. "Inferring epidemic dynamics using Gaussian process emulation of agent-based simulations." arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.12186, 2023. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2307.12186.

Ahmed AA, Rahimian MA, Roberts MS. "Estimating Treatment Effects Using Costly Simulation Samples from a Population-Scale Model of Opioid Use Disorder." arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.13040, 2023. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2308.13040. 

Sumner KM, Yadav R, Noble EK, Sandford R, Joshi D, Tartof SY, Wernli KJ, Martin ET, Gaglani M, Zimmerman RK, Talbot HK, Grijalva CG, Chung JR, Rogier E, Coughlin MM, Flannery B. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Levels Associated with COVID-19 Protection in Outpatients Tested for SARS-CoV-2, US Flu VE Network, October 2021–June 2022. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Sep 23:2023.09.21.23295919. doi: 10.1101/2023.09.21.23295919. PMID: 37790578; PMCID: PMC10543239.

Rumack A, Rosenfeld R, Townes FW. Correcting for heterogeneity in real-time epidemiological indicators.arXiv:2309.16546. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2309.16546.

Geffel KM, Nowalk MP, Sax TM, Taylor L, Clarke K, Susick M, Balasubramani GK, Zimmerman RK. Willingness to Co-receive COVID-19 and Influenza Vaccines among Outpatients. American Journal of Health Behavior, Volume 47, Number 4, August 2023, pp. 725-736(12). DOI: https://doi.org/10.5993/AJHB.47.4.8.

Joudrey PJ, Halpern D, Lin Q, Paykin S, Mair C, Kolak M. Methadone prescribing by addiction specialists likely to leave communities without available methadone treatment. Health Affairs Scholar, 2023;, qxad061, https://doi.org/10.1093/haschl/qxad061.

Altawalbeh SM, Wateska AR, Nowalk MP, Lin CJ, Harrison LH, Schaffner W, Zimmerman RK, Smith KJ. Societal Cost of Racial Pneumococcal Disease Disparities in US Adults Aged 50 Years or Older. Appl Health Econ Health Policy (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40258-023-00854-0.

Wu F, Malek AM, Buchanich JM, Arena VC, Rager JR, Sharma RK, Vena JE, Bear T, Talbott EO. Exposure to ambient air toxicants and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS): A matched case control study. Environ Res. 2023 Nov 21;242:117719. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117719. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37993052.

Kramer KH, Zimmerman RK, Nowalk MP, Silveira FP, Balasubramani GK, Chung JR, Belongia E, Martin ET, Gaglani M, Haggerty CL, Phillips CH, 1161. Effectiveness of the Influenza Vaccine for Preventing Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Infections in Outpatient Immunocompromised Adults, 2017-2018. Open Forum Infectious Diseases, Volume 10, Issue Supplement_2, December 2023, ofad500.1001, https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.1001.

Kyueun Lee, Katherine V Williams, Janet A Englund, Sheena G Sullivan, The potential benefits of delaying seasonal influenza vaccine selections for the Northern Hemisphere: a retrospective modeling study in the United States. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2023;, jiad541, https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiad541.

Lipsitch M, Bassett MT, Brownstein JS, Elliott P, Eyre D, Grabowski MK, Hay JA, Johansson M, Kissler SM, Larremore DB, Layden J, Lessler J, Lynfield R, MacCannell D, Madoff LC, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Ofori SK, Quinn C, Bento ASR, Reich N, Riley S, Rosenfeld R, Samore MH, Sampath R, Slayton RB, Swerdlow DL, Truelove S, Varma JK,Grad YH. Infectious disease surveillance needs for the United States: lessons from COVID-19 (preprint).  arxiv; 2023.Preprint Dans Anglais | PREPRINT-ARXIV | ID: ppzbmed-2311.13724v1. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.2311.13724.

Rader TS 4th, Srinivasa VR, Griffith MP, Waggle K, Pless L, Chung A, Wagester S, Harrison LH, Snyder GM. The utility of whole-genome sequencing to inform epidemiologic investigations of SARS-CoV-2 clusters in acute-care hospitals. Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology. 2023 Dec:1-6. DOI: 10.1017/ice.2023.274. PMID: 38130169.

Ananya, Joshi., Kathryn, Mazaitis., Roni, Rosenfeld., Bryan, Wilder. (2023). Computationally Assisted Quality Control for Public Health Data Streams. arXiv.org, abs/2306.16914 doi: 10.48550/arXiv.2306.16914

Richards-Shubik S, Roberts MS, Donohue JM. "Measuring quality effects in equilibrium." Journal of Health Economics. 2022;83:102616. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2022.102616.

Bauer A, Weigert M, Jalal H.  "APCtools: Descriptive and Model-based Age-Period-Cohort Analysis." Journal of Open Source Software. 2022;7(73), 4056, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.04056.

Radomski TR, Decker A, Khodyakov D, Thorpe CT, Hanlon JT, Roberts MS, Fine MJ, Gellad WF. "Development of a metric to detect and decrease low-value prescribing in older adults."

 JAMA Netw Open. 2022;5(2):e2148599. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.48599.

Jalal, H, Burke, DS. "Exponential growth of drug overdose poisoning and opportunities for intervention." Addiction. 2022; 117: 1200–1202. https://doi.org/10.1111/add.15841.

Burke DS, Jalal H. "Reply commentary by Jalal and Burke." International Journal of Drug Policy. 2022;104:103674. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2022.103674.

Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Raviotta JM, Zimmerman RK, Roberts MS. "Impact of Low Rates of Influenza on Next-Season Influenza Infections." American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2022;62(4):503-510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2021.11.007.

Richards-Shubik S, Roberts MS, Donohue JM. "Measuring quality effects in equilibrium." Journal of Health Economics. 2022;83:102616.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2022.102616.

Lee K, Jalal H, Raviotta JM, Krauland MG, Zimmerman RK, Burke, DS, Roberts MS. "Estimating the Impact of Low Influenza Activity in 2020 on Population Immunity and Future Influenza Seasons in the United States." Open Forum Infectious Diseases, Volume 9, Issue 1, January 2022, ofab607. https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofab607

O’Donnell C, Brownlee K, Marin E, Suyama J, Albert S, Anderson S, et. al. "SARS-CoV-2 control on a large urban college campus without mass testing." Journal of American College Health, Jan, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/07448481.2022.2153600.

Sundermann AJ, Chen J, Kumar P, Ayres AM, Cho ST, Ezeonwuka C, Griffith MP, Miller JK, Mustapha MM, Pasculle AW,  Saul MI, Shutt KA, Srinivasa V, Waggle K, Snyder DL, Cooper VS, Van Tyne D, Snyder GM, Marsh JW, Dubrawski A, Roberts MS, Harrison LE. "Whole-Genome Sequencing Surveillance and Machine Learning of the Electronic Health Record for Enhanced Healthcare Outbreak Detection." Clinical Infectious Diseases. 2022;75(3):476-482. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab946.

Williams KV, Krauland MG, Harrison LH, Williams JV, Roberts MS, Zimmerman RK. Can a Two-Dose Influenza Vaccine Regimen Better Protect Older Adults? An Agent-Based Modeling Study. Vaccines (Basel). 2022 Oct 26;10(11):1799. doi: 10.3390/vaccines10111799. PMID: 36366307; PMCID: PMC9697266.

Braithwaite RS, Roberts MS. "Are Discount Rates Too High? Population Health and Intergenerational Equity." Medical Decision Making. 2021;41(2):245-249. doi:10.1177/0272989X20979816.

Jalal H, Trikalinos TA and Alarid-Escudero F (2021) "BayCANN: Streamlining Bayesian Calibration With Artificial Neural Network Metamodeling." Front. Physiol. 12:662314. doi: 10.3389/fphys.2021.662314. 

Jalal H, and Burke DS. (2021) "Carfentanil and the rise and fall of overdose deaths in the United States."Addiction, 116: 1593–1599. https://doi.org/10.1111/add.15260. 

Jalali MS, Ewing E, Bannister CB, Glos L, Eggers S, Lim TY, Stringfellow E, Stafford CA, Pacula RL, Jalal H, Kazemi-Tabriz R. "Data needs in opioid systems modeling: challenges and future directions." American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2021;60(2):e95-e105. doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2020.08.017.

Puttarajappa CM, Mehta RB, Roberts MS, Smith KJ, Hariharan S. "Economic analysis of screening for subclinical rejection in kidney transplantation using protocol biopsies and noninvasive biomarkers." Am J Transplant. 2021; 21: 186–197. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajt.16150.

Bansback NJ, Barbosa C, Barocas J, Bayoumi AM, Behrends C, Chhatwal J, Cipriano LE, Coffin P, Goldhaber-Fiebert J, Hoch JS, Irvine M, Jalal H, Krebs E, Linas BP, Marshall BDL, Martin N, McCollister K, Meisel Z, Murphy S, Nosyk B, Schackman BR, Zarkin G. "How simulation modeling can support the public health response to the opioid crisis in North America: Setting priorities and assessing value." International Journal of Drug Policy. 2021;88;102726. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2020.102726.

Wateska AR, Nowalk MP, Jalal H, Lin CJ, Harrison LH, Schaffner W, Zimmerman RK, Smith KJ. "Is further research on adult pneumococcal vaccine uptake improvement programs worthwhile? Α value of information analysis." Vaccine. 2021;39(27):3608-3613. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.05.037.

Raghu VK, Rudolph JA, Jalal HJ, Smith KJ. "Microsimulation model to compare enteral and parenteral iron supplementation in children with intestinal failure." Journal of Parenteral and Enteral Nutrition. 2021;45: 810-817. https://doi.org/10.1002/jpen.1940.

Walter EL, Dawdani A, Decker A, Hamm ME, Pickering AN, Hanlon JT, Thorpe CT, Roberts MS, Fine MJ, Gellad WF, Radomski TR. "Prescriber perspectives on low‐value prescribing: a qualitative study." J Am Geriatr Soc. 2021; 69: 1500–1507. https://doi.org/10.1111/jgs.17099.

Pickering A, Walter E, Dawdani A, Decker A, Hamm M, Hanlon J, Thorpe C, Roberts M, Gellad W, Radomski T. "Primary care physicians’ approaches to value-based prescribing in older adults: a qualitative study." Academy Health Annual Research Meeting (June 15, 2021).

Van Nostrand E, Johnston A, Albert SM, Brown AL, Buchanich JM, Ray B, Roberts MS. "Evaluating the effectiveness of problem-solving courts at preventing fatal and non-fatal opioid events: preliminary findings from Indiana." Drugs Context. 2021;10:2021-8-1. https://doi.org/10.7573/dic.2021-8-1

Kumar P, Sundermann AJ, Martin EM, Snyder GM, Marsh JW, Harrison LH, Roberts MS. "Method for Economic Evaluation of Bacterial Whole Genome Sequencing Surveillance Compared to Standard of Care in Detecting Hospital Outbreaks." Clin Infect Dis. 2021 Jul 1;73(1):e9-e18. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaa512. PMID: 32367125; PMCID: PMC8246822.

Jalal H, Krauland M, Zhang K, Nataraj N, Roberts MS, Burke D. Bayesian Calibration Of A Complex Agent-based Model Of Opioid Use Disorder Using Deep Machine Learning.  INFORMS Healthcare 2021. virtual: INFORMS; 2021.

Fox G, von Laszewski G, Wang F, Pyne S. "AICov: An Integrative Deep Learning Framework for COVID-19 Forecasting with Population Covariates", J. data sci. 19(2021), no. 2, 293-313, DOI 10.6339/21-JDS1007.

Gharani P, Ray S, Aruru M, Pyne S. "Differential Patterns of Social Media Use Associated with Loneliness and Health Outcomes in Selected Socioeconomic Groups." J Technol Behav Sci. 2021 May 14:1-10. doi:10.1007/s41347-021-00208-4. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34027034; PMCID: PMC8121492.

Kedem B, Stauffer R, Zhang X, Pyne S. "On the Probabilities of Environmental Extremes."  doi: https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-6029.2021.10.07.

Kedem B, Pyne S. "Estimation of Tail Probabilities by Repeated Augmented Reality." J Stat Theory Pract 15, 25 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42519-020-00152-1.

Kumaran K, Krishnaveni GV, Suryanarayana KG, et al. "Protocol for a cluster randomised trial evaluating a multifaceted intervention starting preconceptionally—Early Interventions to Support Trajectories for Healthy Life in India." (EINSTEIN): a Healthy Life Trajectories Initiative (HeLTI) Study. BMJ Open 2021;11:e045862. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045862.

Krauland M K,Galloway D D,Raviotta J M,Zimmerman R K,Roberts M S. "Agent-based Investigation of the Impact of Low Rates of Influenza on Next Season Influenza Infections." medRxiv 2021.08.18.21262185; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.08.18.21262185.

Jalal H, Buchanich JM, Sinclair DR, Roberts MS, Burke DS. "Age and generational patterns of overdose death risk from opioids and other drugs." Nat Med. 2020 May;26(5):699-704. doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0855-y. Epub 2020 May 4. PMID: 32367060; PMCID: PMC8086189.

Krauland MG, Frankeny RJ, Lewis J, Brink L, Hulsey EG, Roberts MS, Hacker KA. "Development of a Synthetic Population Model for Assessing Excess Risk for Cardiovascular Disease Death." JAMA Netw Open. 2020 Sep 1;3(9):e2015047. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.15047. PMID: 32870312; PMCID: PMC7489828.

Krijkamp EM, Alarid-Escudero F, Enns EA, Pechlivanoglou P, Hunink MG M, Yang A, Jalal HJ. "A Multidimensional Array Representation of State-Transition Model Dynamics." Medical Decision Making.  2020;40(2):242-248. doi:10.1177/0272989X19893973.

Heath A, Kunst N, Jackson C, et al. "Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from 3 Case Studies." Medical Decision Making. 2020;40(3):314-326. doi:10.1177/0272989X20912402.

Kunst N, Wilson ECF, Glynn D, Alarid-Escudero F, Baio G, Brennan A, Fairley M, Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Jackson C, Jalal H, Menzies NA, Strong M, Thom H, Heath A. "Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Practical Guidance and Recommendations for Four Model-Based Methods." Value in Health. 2020;23(6): 734-742. Doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2020.02.010.

Malone DC, Ramsey SD, Patrick DL, Johnson FR, Mullins CD, Roberts MS, Willke RJ, Marshall DA. "Criteria and Process for Initiating and Developing an ISPOR Good Practices Task Force Report." Value in Health. 2020;23(4):409-415. doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2020.03.001.

Brett T, Ajelli M, Liu QH, Krauland MG, Grefenstette JJ, van Panhuis WG, Vespignani A, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2020) "Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems." PLOS Computational Biology 16(3): e1007679. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007679.

Soeteman DI, Resch SC, Jalal H, et al. "Developing and Validating Metamodels of a Microsimulation Model of Infant HIV Testing and Screening Strategies Used in a Decision Support Tool for Health Policy Makers." MDM Policy & Practice. 2020;5(1). doi:10.1177/2381468320932894.

Chu K-H, Shensa A, Colditz JB, Sidani JE, Hoffman BL, Sinclair D, Krauland MG, Primack BA. "Integrating Social Dynamics Into Modeling Cigarette and E-Cigarette Use." Health Education & Behavior. 2020;47(2):191-201. doi:10.1177/1090198119876242.

Heath A, Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Jalal H, Alarid-Escudero F, Kunst N. "Advanced Computation of Value of Information Measure to Determine Optimal Research Design." 42nd Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 20, 2020).

Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Health A, Alarid-Escudero F, Jalal H, Kunst N. "An Introduction to Research Prioritisation and Study Design Using Value of Information Analysis." 42nd Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 13, 2020).

Achtman M, Wain J, Weill FX, Nair S, Zhou Z, Sangal V, Krauland MG, Hale JL, Harbottle H, Uesbeck A, Dougan G, Harrison LH, Brisse S; S. Enterica MLST Study Group. "Multilocus Sequence Typing as a Replacement for Serotyping in Salmonella enterica." PLoS Pathog. 2012;8(6):e1002776. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1002776. Epub 2012 Jun 21. Erratum in: PLoS Pathog. 2020 Oct 21;16(10):e1009040. PMID: 22737074; PMCID: PMC3380943.

Smith K and Roberts MS (2020). "Cost-Effectiveness Analysis." Arnold R. J. G. (Ed.). Pharmacoeconomics: From Theory to Practice (2nd ed.). CRC Press. doi.org/10.1201/9780429491368.

Roberts MS and Smith K (2020). "Decision modeling techniques." Arnold R. J. G. (Ed.). Pharmacoeconomics: From Theory to Practice (2nd ed.). CRC Press.  doi.org/10.1201/9780429491368.

Krauland MG, Frankeny RJ, Lewis J, Brink L, Hulsey EG, Roberts MS, Hacker KA. "Development of a synthetic population model for assessing excess risk for cardiovascular disease death." JAMA Netw Open. 2020;3(9):e2015047. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.15047.

Nosyk B, Weiner J, Krebs E, Zang X, Enns B, Behrends CN, Feaster DJ, Jalal H, Marshall BD, Pandya A, Schackman BR, Meisel ZF. "Dissemination science to advance the use of simulation modeling: our obligation moving forward."Medical Decision Making. 2020;40(6):718-721. doi:10.1177/0272989X20945308.

Kasajima M, Hashimoto H, Suen S, Chen B, Jalal H, Eggleston K, Bhattacharya J. "Future projection of the health and functional status of older people in Japan: A multistate transition microsimulation model with repeated cross‐sectional data." Health Economics. 2020; 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.3986.

Jalal H and Burke DS. "Hexamaps for Age–Period–Cohort Data Visualization and Implementation in R."Epidemiology. 2020;31(6):e47-e49. DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001236

Zang X, Jalal H, Krebs E, Pandya A, Zhou H, Enns B, Nosyk B. "Prioritizing additional data collection to reduce decision uncertainty in the HIV/AIDS response in 6 US cities: a value of information analysis." Value in Health. 2020;23(12):1534-1542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2020.06.013.

Byrnes C, Donohue J, Jarlenski M, Roberts E, Albert SM, Roberts M. "Quantifying the opioid epidemic's impact on society." APHA's 2020 VIRTUAL Annual Meeting and Expo (Oct. 24 - 28).

Krauland MG, Frankeny RJ, Lewis J, Brink L, Hulsey EG, Roberts MS, Hacker KA. "Development of a Synthetic Population Model for Assessing Excess Risk for Cardiovascular Disease Death." JAMA Netw Open. 2020;3(9):e2015047. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.15047.

Lobo CP, Cochran G, Chang CH, Gellad WF, Gordon AJ, Jalal H, Lo-Ciganic W, Karp JF, Kelley D, Donohue JM. "Associations Between the Specialty of Opioid Prescribers and Opioid Addiction, Misuse, and Overdose Outcomes."Pain Medicine. 2020;21(9):1871–1890. https://doi.org/10.1093/pm/pnz234.

Das S, Ghosh P, Sen B, Pyne S, Mukhopadhyay I. "Critical Community Size for COVID-19: A Model Based Approach for Strategic Lockdown Policy." Statistics and Applications {ISSN 2452-7395(online)}. Volume 18, No. 1, 2020 (New Series), pp 181-196.

Gurewitsch R, Aruru M, Goovaerts P, Pyne S. "Spatial modeling of lead water contamination risk in local communities of Pittsburgh, PA." APHA's 2020 VIRTUAL Annual Meeting and Expo (Oct. 24 - 28).

Maleki M, McLachlan G, Gurewitsch R, Aruru M, Pyne S. "A Mixture of Regressions Model of COVID-19 Death Rates and Population Comorbidities." Statistics and Applications {ISSN 2452-7395 (online)}. Volume 18, No. 1, 2020 (New Series), pp 295-306.

Qi Y, Fang Y, Sinclair DR, Guo S, Alberich-Jorda M, Lu J, Tenen DG, Kharas MG, Pyne S. "High-speed automatic characterization of rare events in flow cytometric data." PLoS One. 2020 Feb 11;15(2):e0228651. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0228651. PMID: 32045462; PMCID: PMC7012421.

Zhang X, Pyne S, Kedem B. "Estimation of Residential Radon Concentration in Pennsylvania Counties by Data Fusion." Appl Stochastic Models Bus Ind. 2020. 36: 1094– 1110. doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.2546.

Enns E, Easterly C, Kao S, Krijkamp E, Pechlivanoglou P, Jalal H, Alarid-Escudero F. "‘Dampack’: A Flexible R Package for Analyzing and Visualizing Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Results." 41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 21, 2019).

Alarid-Escudero, F, Krijkamp, EM, Pechlivanoglou, P, Jalal H, Kao SY Z, Yang A, Enns EA. "A Need for Change! A Coding Framework for Improving Transparency in Decision Modeling." PharmacoEconomics 37, 1329–1339 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40273-019-00837-x.

Sundermann A, Martin EM, Snyder GM, Harrison LH, Roberts MS. "Cost-Effectiveness and Budget Impact Analysis of Bacterial Whole Genome Sequencing Surveillance Compared to Standard of Care in Detecting Hospital Outbreaks."41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 21, 2019).

Sinclair DR, Grefenstette JJ, Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Frankeny RJ, Travis C, Burke DS, Roberts MS. "Forecasted Size of Measles Outbreaks Associated With Vaccination Exemptions for Schoolchildren." JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2(8):e199768. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768.

Dalgic OO, Samur S, Spaulding AC, Llerena S, Cobo C, Ayer T, Roberts MS, Crespo J, Chhatwal J. "Improved Health Outcomes from Hepatitis C Treatment Scale-Up in Spain’s Prisons: A Cost-Effectiveness Study." Sci Rep 9, 16849 (2019). doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-52564-0.

Jahn B, Roberts MS, Stahl J, Siebert U. "Modeling Approaches for Analyzing Health Care Problems–an Introductory Overview and Comparison." 41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 20, 2019).

Nicholson KJ, Roberts MS, McCoy KL, Carty SE, Yip L. "Molecular testing versus diagnostic lobectomy in Bethesda III/IV thyroid nodules: a cost-effectiveness analysis." Thyroid. 2019 29:9, 1237-1243. doi.org/10.1089/thy.2018.0779.

Heath A, Jalal H, Alarid-Escudero F, Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Kunst NR. "Optimal Research Design Using Value of Information." 41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 20, 2019).

Kunst NR, Alarid-Escudero F, Brennan A, Glynn D, Jackson C, Menzies NA, Thom H, Wilson ECF, Baio G, Fairley M, Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Jalal H, Strong M, Heath A. "Practical Considerations for the Efficient Computation of the Expected Value of Sample Information to Prioritize Research in Health Care." 41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 20, 2019).

Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Heath A, Jalal H, Alarid-Escudero F, Kunst NR. "Research Prioritisation and Study Design Using Value of Information Analysis." 41st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (Oct 20, 2019).

Jutkowitz E, Alarid-Escudero F, Kuntz KM, Jalal H. "The curve of optimal sample size (COSS): a graphical representation of the optimal sample size from a value of information analysis." PharmacoEconomics 37, 871–877 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40273-019-00770-z.

Sinclair DR, Grefenstette JJ, Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Frankeny RJ, Travis C, Burke DS, Albert SM, Roberts MS. (2019) "Interventions in measles outbreaks: the potential reduction in cases associated with school suspension and vaccination interventions." Journal of Applied Research on Children: Informing Policy for Children at Risk: Vol. 10: Iss. 2, Article 10. https://doi.org/10.58464/2155-5834.1398.

Dewitt B, Jalal H, Hanmer J. "Computing PROPr Utility Scores for PROMIS® Profile Instruments." Value in Health. 2020;23(3):370-378. Doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2019.09.2752.

Alarid-Escudero F, Enns EA, Kuntz KM, Michaud TL, Jalal H. "'Time Traveling Is Just Too Dangerous' but Some Methods Are Worth Revisiting: The Advantages of Expected Loss Curves Over Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curves and Frontier." Value Health. 2019;22(5):611-618. doi:10.1016/j.jval.2019.02.008.

Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S. "Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate." PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Jan 22;15(1):e1006600. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600.

Jutkowitz E, Alarid-Escudero F, Kuntz KM, Jalal H. "The Curve of Optimal Sample Size (COSS): A Graphical Representation of the Optimal Sample Size from a Value of Information Analysis." PharmacoEconomics. 2019 Feb 14:1-7. doi: 10.1007/s40273-019-00770-z.

McGowan CJ, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Apfeldorf KM, Ben-Nun M, Brooks L, Convertino M, Erraguntla M, Farrow DC, Freeze J, Ghosh S, Hyun S, Kandula S, Lega J, Liu Y, Michaud N, Morita H, Niemi J, Ramakrishnan N, Ray EL, Reich NG, Riley P, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Vespignani A, Zhang Q, Reed C and The Influenza Forecasting Working Group. "Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016." Sci Rep. 2019 Jan 24;9(1):683. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36361-9.

Mendu VR, Perugu S, Manne M, Bolla R, Aruru M, Pyne S. "Nutrition Atlas of ICMR-National Institute of Nutrition: an informatics platform on nutrition in India." 2019. Statistics and Applications, 17(1): 209–219.

Pyne S, and Aruru M. "Antifungal resistance: Implications for Data Policy and Research." BLDE Univ. J. Health Sc., 4(1), 2019. DOI: 10.4103/bjhs.bjhs_23_19.  Accepted.

Qi Y, Fang Y, Sinclair DR, Guo S, Alberich-Jorda M, Lu J, Tenen DG, Kharas MG, Pyne S. 2019. "High-speed automatic characterization of rare events in flow cytometric data." bioRxiv doi: 10.1101/591644.

Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. "A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States." Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Costa F, Nascimento EJM, Nery N, Castanha PMS, Sacramento GA, Cruz J, Carvalho M, De Olivera D, Hagan JE, Adhikarla H, Wunder EA Jr, Coelho DF, Azar SR, Rossi SL, Vasilakis N, Weaver SC, Ribeiro GS, Balmaseda A, Harris E, Nogueira ML, Reis MG, Marques ETA, Cummings DAT, Ko AI. "Impact of preexisting dengue immunity on Zika virus emergence in a dengue endemic region." Science. 2019 Feb 8;363(6427):607-610. doi: 10.1126/science.aav6618.

Sinclair DR, Grefenstette JJ, Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Frankeny RJ, Travis C, Burke DS, Roberts MR. "Forecasted size of measles outbreaks associated with vaccination exemptions for schoolchildren." JAMA Network Open, 2019;2(8):e199768. doi:10.100/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768.

Slavova S, Delcher C, Buchanich JM, Bunn TL, Goldberger BA, Costich JF. "Methodological Complexities in Quantifying Rates of Fatal Opioid-Related Overdose." Curr Epidemiol reports. 2019;6(2):263-274. doi:10.1007/s40471-019-00201-9.

Dewitt B, Fischhoff B, Davis AL, Broomell SB, Roberts MS, Hanmer J. Exclusion Criteria as Measurements I: Identifying Invalid Responses. Medical Decision Making. 2019;39(6):693-703. doi:10.1177/0272989X19856617

Althouse BM, Guerbois M, Cummings DAT, Diop OM, Faye O, Faye A, Diallo D, Sadio BD, Sow A, Faye O, Sall AA, Diallo M, Benefit B, Simons E, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Hanley KA. "Role of monkeys in the sylvatic cycle of chikungunya virus in Senegal." Nature communications. 2018 March 13;9(1):1046. PubMed PMID: 29535306; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5849707. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-03332-7.

Aruru M, Pyne S. "Noncommunicable disease modeling and simulation as means of understanding childhood obesity and intervention effectiveness." BLDE Univ J Health Sci. 2018 June;3(1). DOI: 10.4103/bjhs.bjhs_8_18.

Ball JD, Elbadry MA, Telisma T, White SK, Chavannes S, Anilis MG, Prosperi M, Cummings DAT, Lednicky JA, Morris JG Jr, Beau de Rochars M. "Clinical and epidemiologic patterns of Chikungunya virus infection and coincident arboviral disease in a school cohort in Haiti, 2014-2015." Clin Infect Dis, 2018 Aug 31. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciy582.

Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Alper D, Brooks LC, Chakraborty P, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Kandula S, McGowan C, Ramakrishnan N, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Tibshirani RJ, Vespignani A, Yang W, Zhang Q, Reed C. "Results from the second year of a collaborative effort to forecast influenza seasons in the United States." Epidemics. 2018 February 24. PubMed PMID: 29506911. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.02.003.

Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R. "Nonmechanistic forecasts of seasonal influenza with iterative one-week-ahead distributions." PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 June 15; 14(6):e1006134. PMID:29906286. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006134.

Buchanich JM, Balmert LC, Williams KE, Burke DS. "The effect of incomplete death certificates on estimates of unintentional opioid-related overdose deaths in the United States, 1999-2015." Public Health Rep. 2018 Jul/Aug;133(4):423-431. doi: 10.1177/0033354918774330.

Buchanich JM, Doerfler SM, Lann MF, Marsh GM, Burke DS. "Improvement in racial disparities in years of life lost in the USA since 1990." Olson DR, ed. PLoS One. 2018;13(4):e0194308. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0194308.

Chadsuthi S, Althouse BM, Iamsirithaworn S, Triampo W, Grantz KH, Cummings DAT. "Travel distance and human movement predict paths of emergence and spatial spread of chikungunya in Thailand." Epidemiology and Infection. 2018 Jul 9:1–9. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001917.

Chung-Chou HC, Bryce, CL, Benjamin L.S, Yabes JG, Yen R, Zenarosa GL, Tomko H, Donnell DM, Squires RH, Roberts MS. "Accuracy of the Pediatric End-stage Liver Disease Score in Estimating Pretransplant Mortality Among Pediatric Liver Transplant Candidates." JAMA Pediatr. 17 Sep 2018. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2018.2541.

Dodson ZM, Enki Yoo EH, Martin-Gill C, Roth R. "Spatial Methods to Enhance Public Health Surveillance and Resource Deployment in the Opioid Epidemic." American Journal of Public Health. Published online before print July 19, 2018. PMID: 30024793. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2018.304524.

España G, Grefenstette J, Perkins A, Torres C, Campo Carey A, Diaz H, de la Hoz F, Burke DS, van Panhuis WG. "Exploring scenarios of chikungunya mitigation with a data-driven agent-based model of the 2014-2016 outbreak in Colombia." Sci Rep. 2018 Aug 15;8(1):12201. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30647-8. PubMed PMID: 30111778.

Jalal H, Buchanich JM, Roberts MS, Balmert LC, Zhang K, Burke DS. "Changing dynamics of the drug overdose epidemic in the United States from 1979 through 2016." Science. 2018 Sep 21;361(6408). doi: 10.1126/science.aau1184.

Katzelnick LC, Coello Escoto A, McElvany BD, Chavez C, Salje H, Luo W, et al. (2018). "Viridot: An automated virus plaque (immunofocus) counter for the measurement of serological neutralizing responses with application to dengue virus." PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 12(10):e0006862. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006862.

Kraemer MUG, Cummings DAT, Funk S, Reiner Jr. RC, Faria NR, Pybus OG, Cauchemez S. (2018). "Reconstruction and prediction of viral disease epidemics." Epidemiol Infec. Nov 5:1–7. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002881.

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. "Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics." PLoS Biol. 2018 Aug 20;16(8):e2004974. eCollection 2018 Aug. PMID: 30125272. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2004974.

Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. "Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2018 March 6;115(10):E2175-E2182. PubMed PMID: 29463757; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5877997. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1714457115.

López‑García M, Aruru M, Pyne S. "Health analytics and disease modeling for better understanding of healthcare‑associated infections." BLDE Univ J. Health Sci. 2018 Dec; 3:69-74. DOI: 10.4103/bjhs.bjhs_36_18.

Paternina-Caicedo A, Driessen J, Roberts M, van Panhuis WG. "Heterogeneity Between States in the Health and Economic Impact of Measles Immunization in the United States." Open Forum Infectious Diseases, 1 July 2018:5(7). doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofy137.

Prashant Raghav, Charu Verma. "International Symposium in New Delhi Addresses Emerging Challenges in Health Analytics and Disease Modeling." Science Reporter, June 2018, p. 49-50.

Ray S, Joshi R. "International Workshop for Building Disease-modeling Capacity in India: A Report." Visleshana. 2018 April-June; Vol 2, No 3.

Smith MK, Graham M, Latkin CA, Mehta SH, Cummings DAT. "Quantifying potentially infectious sharing patterns among people who inject drugs in Baltimore, USA." Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Aug 2:1-9. [Epub ahead of print] PMID: 30070187. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002042.

van Panhuis WG, Cross A, Burke DS. "Project Tycho 2.0: a repository to improve the integration and reuse of data for global population health." Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association, 2018 Oct 15. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocy123.

Wesolowski A, Winter A,Tatem AJ, Qureshi T, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee CO, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE. "Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel datastreams to strengthen control." Epidemiology and Infection. 2018 June 4:1–9. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001449. PMID:29860954.

Woolf SH, Chapman DA, Buchanich JM, Bobby KJ, Zimmerman EB, Blackburn SM. "Changes in midlife death rates across racial and ethnic groups in the United States: systematic analysis of vital statistics." BMJ. 2018 Aug 15;362:k3096. PMID: 30111554. doi: 10.1136/bmj.k3096.

Brownwright TK, Dodson ZM, van Panhuis WG. "Spatial clustering of measles vaccination coverage among children in sub-Saharan Africa." BMC public health. 2017 December 15;17(1):957. PubMed PMID: 29246217; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5732449. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4961-9.

Chhatwal J, Samur S, Kues B, Ayer T, Roberts MS, Kanwal F, Hur C, Donnell DM, Chung RT. "Optimal timing of hepatitis C treatment for patients on the liver transplant waiting list." Hepatology. 2017 Mar;65(3):777-788. doi: 10.1002/hep.28926.

Dodson ZM, Agadjanian V, Driessen J. "How to allocate limited healthcare resources: Lessons from the introduction of antiretroviral therapy in rural Mozambique." Appl Geogr. 2017 Jan;78:45-54. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2016.11.001.

Farrow DC, Brooks LC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Burke DS, Rosenfeld R. "A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting." Alizon S, ed. PLoS Comput Biol. 2017;13(3):e1005248. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005248.

Grubaugh ND, Ladner JT, Kraemer MUG, Dudas G, Tan AL, Gangavarapu K, Wiley MR, White S, Thézé J, Magnani DM, Prieto K, Reyes D, Bingham AM, Paul LM, Robles-Sikisaka R, Oliveira G, Pronty D, Barcellona CM, Metsky HC, Baniecki ML, Barnes KG, Chak B, Freije CA, Gladden-Young A, Gnirke A, Luo C, MacInnis B, Matranga CB, Park DJ, Qu J, Schaffner SF, Tomkins-Tinch C, West KL, Winnicki SM, Wohl S, Yozwiak NL, Quick J, Fauver JR, Khan K, Brent SE, Reiner RC Jr, Lichtenberger PN, Ricciardi MJ, Bailey VK, Watkins DI, Cone MR, Kopp EW 4th, Hogan KN, Cannons AC, Jean R, Monaghan AJ, Garry RF, Loman NJ, Faria NR, Porcelli MC, Vasquez C, Nagle ER, Cummings DAT, Stanek D, Rambaut A, Sanchez-Lockhart M, Sabeti PC, Gillis LD, Michael SF, Bedford T, Pybus OG, Isern S, Palacios G, Andersen KG. "Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States." Nature. 2017 June 15;546(7658):401-405. PubMed PMID: 28538723; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5536180. doi: 10.1038/nature22400.

Jalal H, Alarid-Escudero F. "A Gaussian Approximation Approach for Value of Information Analysis." Med Decis Making. 2017 Jul 1:272989X17715627. doi: 10.1177/0272989X17715627.

Jalal H, Buchanich J, Balmert L, Roberts M, Burke D. (Featuring research from "Sub-epidemics within the opioid epidemic".) "Forecasting the opioid epidemic." The Economist, The Economist Newspaper. 2017 Oct 28.

Jalal H, Pechlivanoglou P, Krijkamp E, Alarid-Escudero F, Enns E, Hunink MGM. "An Overview of R in Health Decision Sciences." Med Decis Making. 2017 Oct; 37(7):735-746. doi: 10.1177/0272989X16686559.

Jalal H, Roberts M, Burke D. (Featuring research from "A dynamic transmission disease model of the opioid epidemic".) "The shifting toll of America's drug epidemic." The Economist, The Economist Newspaper. 2017 Oct 26.

Jarlenski M, Hogan C, Bogen DL, Chang JC, Bodnar LM, Van Nostrand E. "Characterization of U.S. State Laws Requiring Health Care Provider Reporting of Perinatal Substance Use." Womens Health Issues. 2017 May - Jun;27(3):264-270. doi: 10.1016/j.whi.2016.12.008.

Kabiri M, Chhatwal J, Donohue JM, Roberts MS, James AE, Dunn MA, Gellad WF. "Long-term disease and economic outcomes of prior authorization criteria for Hepatitis C treatment in Pennsylvania Medicaid." Healthc (Amst). 2017 Sep;5(3):105-111. doi:10.1016/j.hjdsi.2016.11.001.

Katzelnick LC, Harris E, Baric R, Coller BA, Coloma J, Crowe JE, Cummings DAT. "Immune correlates of protection for dengue: State of the art and research agenda." Vaccine. 2017 August 24;35(36):4659-4669. PubMed PMID: 28757058. PMCID: PMC5924688. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.07.045.

Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TB, Goodermote R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Peters DH. "Impact of interventions and the incidence of ebola virus disease in Liberia-implications for future epidemics." Health Policy Plan. 2017;32(2):205-214. doi:10.1093/heapol/czw113.

Samur S, Kues B, Ayer T, Roberts MS, Kanwal F, Hur C, Donnell DMS, Chung RT, Chhatwal J. "Cost Effectiveness of Pre- vs Post-Liver Transplant Hepatitis C Treatment With Direct-Acting Antivirals." Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2017 Jun 17. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2017.06.024.

Balmert LC, Buchanich JM, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM. "Patterns and Trends in Accidental Poisoning Deaths: Pennsylvania's Experience 1979-2014." PLoS One. Public Library of Science; 2016 Jan 10;11(3):e0151655.

Buchanich JM, Balmert LC, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM. "Patterns and trends in accidental poisoning death rates in the US, 1979-2014." Prev Med (Baltim). 2016 Apr 13.

Burke DS. "Forecasting the opioid epidemic." Science, 2016 Nov 4; 354(6312):529. DOI: 10.1126/science/aal2943.

Castanha PM, Braga C, Cordeiro MT, Souza AI, Silva CD Jr, Martelli CM, van Panhuis WG, Nascimento EJ, Marques ET. "Placental Transfer of Dengue Virus (DENV)-Specific Antibodies and Kinetics of DENV Infection-Enhancing Activity in Brazilian Infants." J Infect Dis. 2016 Jul 15;214(2):265-72. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw143.

Chhatwal J, Wang X, Ayer T, Kabiri M, Chung RT, Hur C, Donohue JM, Roberts MS, Kanwal F. "Hepatitis C Disease Burden in the United States in the era of oral direct-acting antivirals." Hepatology. 2016 Nov;64(5):1442-1450. doi: 10.1002/hep.28571.

Dalziel BD, Bjørnstad ON, van Panhuis WG, Burke DS, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. "Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns." PLoS Comput Biol. 2016 Feb;12(2):e1004655.

Guclu H, Kumar S, Galloway D, Krauland M, Sood R, Bocour A, Hershey TB, van Nostrand E, Potter M. "An Agent-Based Model for Addressing the Impact of a Disaster on Access to Primary Care Services." Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Jun;10(3):386-93. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2016.44.

He T, Li K, Roberts MS, Spaulding AC, Ayer T, Grefenstette JJ, et al. "Prevention of Hepatitis C by Screening and Treatment in U.S. Prisons." Ann Intern Med. 2016 Jan 19;164(2):84–92.

Hershey TB, Van Nostrand E, Sood RK, Potter M. "Legal Considerations for Health Care Practitioners After Superstorm Sandy." Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Jun;10(3):518-24. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2016.33.

Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, et al. "Assessing the global threat from Zika virus." Science. 2016 Aug 12;353(6300):aaf8160. doi:10.1126/science.aaf8160.

Lessler J, Cummings DAT. "Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health." Am J Epidemiol. 2016 Mar 1;183(5):415–22.

Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, et al. "Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia." Am J Epidemiol. 2016 Feb 4;183(7):657–63.

Metcalf CJE, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, et al. "Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease." Lancet (London, England). 2016 Apr 5.

Mochan-Keef E, Swigon D, Ermentrout GB, Clermont G. "A Three-Tiered Study of Differences in Murine Intrahost Immune Response to Multiple Pneumococcal Strains." PLoS One. 2015;10(8):e0134012.

Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, et al. "Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand," 1973-2012. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2016 Mar 28.

Poon LLM, Song T, Rosenfeld R, Lin X, Rogers MB, Zhou B, et al. "Quantifying influenza virus diversity and transmission in humans." Nat Genet. 2016 Jan 4;48(2):195–200.

Roberts MS. "The Next Chapter in Cost-effectiveness Analysis." JAMA. 2016 Sep 13;316(10):1049-50. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.12844.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DAT. "Dengue Vaccine in Regions of Endemic Disease." N Engl J Med. 2016 Apr 7;374(14):1388.

Mustapha MM, Marsh JW, Krauland MG, Fernandez JO, de Lemos AP, Dunning Hotopp JC, Wang X, Mayer LW, Lawrence JG, Hiller NL, Harrison LH. Genomic Investigation Reveals Highly Conserved, Mosaic, Recombination Events Associated with Capsular Switching among Invasive Neisseria meningitidis Serogroup W Sequence Type (ST)-11 Strains. Genome Biol Evol. 2016 Jul 3;8(6):2065-75. doi: 10.1093/gbe/evw122. PMID: 27289093; PMCID: PMC4943193.

Althouse BM, Hanley KA, Diallo M, Sall AA, Ba Y, Faye O, et al. "Impact of climate and mosquito vector abundance on sylvatic arbovirus circulation dynamics in Senegal." Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2015 Jan;92(1):88–97.

Braithwaite RS, Roberts MS. "Validation Is Necessary but Insufficient." Med Decis Making. 2015 Oct;35(7):815–6.

Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R. "Flexible Modeling of Epidemics with an Empirical Bayes Framework." PLoS Comput Biol. 2015 Aug;11(8):e1004382.

Chhatwal J, Kanwal F, Roberts MS, Dunn MA. "Cost-Effectiveness and Budget Impact of Hepatitis C Virus Treatment With Sofosbuvir and Ledipasvir in the United States." Ann Intern Med. 2015 Mar 17;162(6):397–406.

Clapham H, Cummings DAT, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, et al. "Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics." PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 Dec;9(12):e0004262.

Farrow DC, Burke DS, Rosenfeld R. "Computational Characterization of Transient Strain-Transcending Immunity against Influenza A." PLoS One. 2015 Jan;10(5):e0125047.

Faye O, Boëlle P-Y, Heleze E, Faye O, Loucoubar C, Magassouba N, et al. "Chains of transmission and control of Ebola virus disease in Conakry, Guinea, in 2014: an observational study." Lancet Infect Dis. 2015 Jan 22.

Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Jalal HJ. "Some Health States Are Better Than Others: Using Health State Rank Order to Improve Probabilistic Analyses." Med Decis Making. 2015 Sep 16.

Grim P, Singer DJ, Reade C, Fisher S. "Germs, Genes, and Memes: Function and Fitness Dynamics on Information Networks." Philos Sci. 2015;82(2):219–43.

Hershey TB, Pryde JA, Mwaungulu GS, Phifer VI, Roszak AR. "Putting the Law Into Practice: A Comparison of Isolation and Quarantine As Tools to Control Tuberculosis and Ebola." J Public Health Manag Pract. 2015 Oct 30.

Kessler J, Ruggles K, Patel A, Nucifora K, Li L, Roberts MS, et al. "Targeting an Alcohol Intervention Cost-Effectively to Persons Living with HIV/AIDS in East Africa." Alcohol Clin Exp Res. 2015 Nov;39(11):2179–88.

Khademi A, Saure DR, Schaefer AJ, Braithwaite RS, Roberts MS. "The Price of Nonabandonment: HIV in Resource-Limited Settings." Manuf Serv Oper Manag. 2015.

Klein EY, Makowsky M, Orlando M, Hatna E, Braykov NP, Laxminarayan R. "Influence of provider and urgent care density across different socioeconomic strata on outpatient antibiotic prescribing in the USA." J Antimicrob Chemother. 2015 May;70(5):1580–7.

Klein EY, Smith DL, Cohen JM, Laxminarayan R. "Bioeconomic analysis of child-targeted subsidies for artemisinin combination therapies: a cost-effectiveness analysis." J R Soc Interface. 2015 Jun 6;12(107).

Kraemer MU, Perkins TA, Cummings DAT, Zakar R, Hay SI, Smith DL, et al. "Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan." J R Soc Interface. 2015 Oct 6;12(111).

Kumar S, Piper K, Galloway DD, Hadler JL, Grefenstette JJ. "Is population structure sufficient to generate area-level inequalities in influenza rates? An examination using agent-based models." BMC Public Health. 2015 Jan;15(1):947.

Liu F, Enanoria WTA, Zippich J, Blumberg S, Harriman K, Ackley SF, Wheaton WD, Allpress JL, Porco TC. "The role of vaccination coverage, individual behaviors, and the public health response in the control of measles epidemics: an agent-based simulation for California." BMC Public Health. 2015; 15:447. doi: 10.1186/s12889-015-1766-6.

Mertz KJ, Buchanich JM, Washington TL, Irvin-Barnwell EA, Woytowitz D V, Smith RE. "Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia in Eastern Pennsylvania: An Assessment of Registry Reporting." J Registry Manag. 2015 Jan;42(1):9–11.

Metcalf CJE, Tatem A, Bjornstad ON, Lessler J, O’Reilly K, Takahashi S, et al. "Transport networks and inequities in vaccination: remoteness shapes measles vaccine coverage and prospects for elimination across Africa." Epidemiol Infect. 2015 May;143(7):1457–66.

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Brown ST, Tai JH, Bailey RR, Cooley PC, Wheaton WD, Potter MA, Voorhees RE, LeJeune M, Grefenstette JJ, Burke DS, McGlone SM, Lee BY. Would school closure for the 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic have been worth the cost?: a computational simulation of Pennsylvania. BMC Public Health. 2011 May 20;11:353. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-11-353. PMID: 21599920; PMCID: PMC3119163.

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Lee BY, Assi TM, Rajgopal J, Norman BA, Chen SI, Brown ST, Slayton RB, Kone S, Kenea H, Welling JS, Connor DL, Wateska AR, Jana A, Wiringa AE, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS. Impact of introducing the pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines into the routine immunization program in Niger. Am J Public Health. 2012 Feb;102(2):269-76. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300218. Epub 2011 Nov 28. PMID: 21940923; PMCID: PMC3386610.

Lee BY, Assi TM, Rookkapan K, Connor DL, Rajgopal J, Sornsrivichai V, Brown ST, Welling JS, Norman BA, Chen SI, Bailey RR, Wiringa AE, Wateska AR, Jana A, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS. Replacing the measles ten-dose vaccine presentation with the single-dose presentation in Thailand. Vaccine. 2011 May 12;29(21):3811-7. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.03.013. Epub 2011 Mar 23. PMID: 21439313; PMCID: PMC3084328.

Lee BY, Assi TM, Rookkapan K, Wateska AR, Rajgopal J, Sornsrivichai V, Chen SI, Brown ST, Welling J, Norman BA, Connor DL, Bailey RR, Jana A, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS. Maintaining vaccine delivery following the introduction of the rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines in Thailand. PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e24673. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024673. Epub 2011 Sep 13. PMID: 21931805; PMCID: PMC3172252.

Lee BY, Bacon KM, Bailey R, Wiringa AE, Smith KJ. The potential economic value of a hookworm vaccine.Vaccine. 2011 Feb 1;29(6):1201-10. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.12.004. Epub 2010 Dec 16. PMID: 21167860; PMCID: PMC3038553.

Lee BY, Bacon KM, Donohue JM, Wiringa AE, Bailey RR, Zimmerman RK. From the patient perspective: the economic value of seasonal and H1N1 influenza vaccination.. Vaccine. 2011 Mar 3;29(11):2149-58. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.12.078. Epub 2011 Jan 6. PMID: 21215340; PMCID: PMC3046420.

Lee BY, Brown ST, Bailey RR, Zimmerman RK, Potter MA, McGlone SM, Cooley PC, Grefenstette JJ, Zimmer SM, Wheaton WD, Quinn SC, Voorhees RE, Burke DS. The benefits to all of ensuring equal and timely access to influenza vaccines in poor communities. Health Aff (Millwood). 2011 Jun;30(6):1141-50. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2010.0778. PMID: 21653968; PMCID: PMC3385997.

Lee BY, Connor DL, Kitchen SB, Bacon KM, Shah M, Brown ST, Bailey RR, Laosiritaworn Y, Burke DS, Cummings DA. Economic value of dengue vaccine in Thailand. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2011 May;84(5):764-72. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2011.10-0624. PMID: 21540387; PMCID: PMC3083745.

Lee BY, McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Wettstein ZS, Umscheid CA, Muder RR. Economic impact of outbreaks of norovirus infection in hospitals. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2011 Feb;32(2):191-3. doi: 10.1086/657910. PMID: 21460478; PMCID: PMC3385992.

Lee BY, McGlone SM, Doi Y, Bailey RR, Harrison LH. Economic value of Acinetobacter baumannii screening in the intensive care unit. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2011 Nov;17(11):1691-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-0691.2011.03491.x. Epub 2011 Apr 4. PMID: 21463394; PMCID: PMC4466223.

Lee BY, McGlone SM, Song Y, Avery TR, Eubank S, Chang CC, Bailey RR, Wagener DK, Burke DS, Platt R, Huang SS. Social network analysis of patient sharing among hospitals in Orange County, California. Am J Public Health. 2011 Apr;101(4):707-13. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2010.202754. Epub 2011 Feb 17. Erratum in: Am J Public Health. 2011 Oct;101(10):1815. PMID: 21330578; PMCID: PMC3052345.

Lee BY, McGlone SM, Wong KF, Yilmaz SL, Avery TR, Song Y, Christie R, Eubank S, Brown ST, Epstein JM, Parker JI, Burke DS, Platt R, Huang SS. Modeling the spread of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) outbreaks throughout the hospitals in Orange County, California. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2011 Jun;32(6):562-72. doi: 10.1086/660014. Erratum in: Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2011 Sep;32(9):938. PMID: 21558768; PMCID: PMC3388111.

Lee BY, Song Y, McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Feura JM, Tai JH, Lewis GJ, Wiringa AE, Smith KJ, Muder RR, Harrison LH, Piraino B. The economic value of screening haemodialysis patients for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in the USA. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2011 Nov;17(11):1717-26. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-0691.2011.03525.x. Epub 2011 May 20. PMID: 21595796; PMCID: PMC4745896.

Lee BY, Stalter RM, Bacon KM, Tai JH, Bailey RR, Zimmer SM, Wagner MM. Cost-effectiveness of adjuvanted versus nonadjuvanted influenza vaccine in adult hemodialysis patients. Am J Kidney Dis. 2011 May;57(5):724-32. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2010.12.016. Epub 2011 Mar 10. PMID: 21396760; PMCID: PMC3085888.

Lee BY, Tai JH, Bailey RR, McGlone SM, Wiringa AE, Zimmer SM, Smith KJ, Zimmerman RK. Economic model for emergency use authorization of intravenous peramivir. Am J Manag Care. 2011 Jan;17(1):e1-9. PMID: 21485418; PMCID: PMC3763185.

Lee BY, Tai JH, McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Wateska AR, Zimmer SM, Zimmerman RK, Wagner MM. The potential economic value of a 'universal' (multi-year) influenza vaccine. 2012 May;6(3):167-75. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00288.x. Epub 2011 Sep 21. PMID: 21933357; PMCID: PMC3253949.

Lee BY, Wettstein ZS, McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Umscheid CA, Smith KJ, Muder RR. Economic value of norovirus outbreak control measures in healthcare settings. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2011 Apr;17(4):640-6. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-0691.2010.03345.x. Epub 2010 Oct 26. PMID: 20731684; PMCID: PMC3005527.

Lee BY, Wiringa AE. The 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: a case study of how modeling can assist all stages of vaccine decision-making. Hum Vaccin. 2011 Jan 1;7(1):115-9. doi: 10.4161/hv.7.1.13740. Epub 2011 Jan 1. PMID: 21263227; PMCID: PMC3062245.

Lee BY, Wiringa AE, Mitgang EA, McGlone SM, Afriyie AN, Song Y, Beigi RH. Routine pre-cesarean Staphylococcus aureus screening and decolonization: a cost-effectiveness analysis. Routine pre-cesarean Staphylococcus aureus screening and decolonization: a cost-effectiveness analysis. Am J Manag Care. 2011 Oct;17(10):693-700. PMID: 22106462; PMCID: PMC3836821.

Marchbanks TL, Bhattarai A, Fagan RP, Ostroff S, Sodha SV, Moll ME, Lee BY, Chang CC, Ennis B, Britz P, Fiore A, Nguyen M, Palekar R, Archer WR, Gift TL, Leap R, Nygren BL, Cauchemez S, Angulo FJ, Swerdlow D; Pennsylvania Working Group. An outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection in an elementary school in Pennsylvania. Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jan 1;52 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):S154-60. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciq058. PMID: 21342888; PMCID: PMC3738229.

McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Zimmer SM, Popovich MJ, Tian Y, Ufberg P, Muder RR, Lee BY. The economic burden of Clostridium difficile. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2012 Mar;18(3):282-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-0691.2011.03571.x. Epub 2011 Jun 10. PMID: 21668576; PMCID: PMC3763211.

Merler S, Ajelli M, Pugliese A, Ferguson NM. Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling. 2011 Sep;7(9):e1002205. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002205. Epub 2011 Sep 29. PMID: 21980281; PMCID: PMC3182874.

Pellis L, Ferguson NM, Fraser C. Epidemic growth rate and household reproduction number in communities of households, schools and workplaces. J Math Biol. 2011 Oct;63(4):691-734. doi: 10.1007/s00285-010-0386-0. Epub 2010 Dec 1. PMID: 21120484; PMCID: PMC3786716.

Rajgopal J, Connor DL, Assi TM, Norman BA, Chen SI, Bailey RR, Long AR, Wateska AR, Bacon KM, Brown ST, Burke DS, Lee BY. The optimal number of routine vaccines to order at health clinics in low or middle income countries. Vaccine. 2011 Jul 26;29(33):5512-8. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.05.044. Epub 2011 May 30. PMID: 21624419; PMCID: PMC3138835.

Cauchemez S, Bhattarai A, Marchbanks TL, Fagan RP, Ostroff S, Ferguson NM, Swerdlow D; Pennsylvania H1N1 working group. Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2011 Feb 15;108(7):2825-30. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1008895108. Epub 2011 Jan 31. PMID: 21282645; PMCID: PMC3041067.

Shim E. Prioritization of delayed vaccination for pandemic influenza. Math Biosci Eng. 2011 Jan;8(1):95-112. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2011.8.95. PMID: 21361402; PMCID: PMC3772649.

Shim E, Meyers LA, Galvani AP. Optimal H1N1 vaccination strategies based on self-interest versus group interest. BMC Public Health. 2011 Feb 25;11 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):S4. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-11-S1-S4. PMID: 21356133; PMCID: PMC3152777.

Opatowski L, Fraser C, Griffin J, de Silva E, Van Kerkhove MD, Lyons EJ, Cauchemez S, Ferguson NM. Transmission characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: comparison of 8 Southern hemisphere countries. PLoS Pathog. 2011 Sep;7(9):e1002225. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1002225. Epub 2011 Sep 1. PMID: 21909272; PMCID: PMC3164643.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cordeiro MT, Braga C, de Souza WV, Marques ET, Cummings DA. From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2011 Jan 4;5(1):e935. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000935. PMID: 21245922; PMCID: PMC3014978.

White MT, Griffin JT, Churcher TS, Ferguson NM, Basáñez MG, Ghani AC. Modelling the impact of vector control interventions on Anopheles gambiae population dynamics. Parasit Vectors. 2011 Jul 28;4:153. doi: 10.1186/1756-3305-4-153. PMID: 21798055; PMCID: PMC3158753.

Krauland M, Harrison L, Paterson D, Marsh J. Novel integron gene cassette arrays identified in a global collection of multi-drug resistant non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica. Curr Microbiol. 2010 Mar;60(3):217-23. doi: 10.1007/s00284-009-9527-3. PMID: 19921331; PMCID: PMC2824789.

Cooley P, Lee BY, Brown S, Cajka J, Chasteen B, Ganapathi L, Stark JH, Wheaton WD, Wagener DK, Burke DS. Protecting health care workers: a pandemic simulation based on Allegheny County. Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2010 Mar;4(2):61-72. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2009.00122.x. PMID: 20167046; PMCID: PMC2894576.

Egan JR, Legrand J, Hall IM, Cauchemez S, Ferguson NM, Leach S. Re-assessment of mitigation strategies for deliberate releases of anthrax using a real-time outbreak characterization tool. Epidemics. 2010 Dec;2(4):189-94. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2010.06.001. Epub 2010 Jun 10. PMID: 21352789.

Fried JR, Gibbons RV, Kalayanarooj S, Thomas SJ, Srikiatkhachorn A, Yoon IK, Jarman RG, Green S, Rothman AL, Cummings DA. Serotype-specific differences in the risk of dengue hemorrhagic fever: an analysis of data collected in Bangkok, Thailand from 1994 to 2006. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2010 Mar 2;4(3):e617. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000617. PMID: 20209155; PMCID: PMC2830471.

Huang SS, Avery TR, Song Y, Elkins KR, Nguyen CC, Nutter SK, Nafday AA, Condon CJ, Chang MT, Chrest D, Boos J, Bobashev G, Wheaton W, Frank SA, Platt R, Lipsitch M, Bush RM, Eubank S, Burke DS, Lee BY. Quantifying interhospital patient sharing as a mechanism for infectious disease spread. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2010 Nov;31(11):1160-9. doi: 10.1086/656747. PMID: 20874503; PMCID: PMC3064463.

Lee BY, Bacon KM, Connor DL, Willig AM, Bailey RR. The potential economic value of a Trypanosoma cruzi (Chagas disease) vaccine in Latin America. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2010 Dec 14;4(12):e916. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000916. PMID: 21179503; PMCID: PMC3001903.

Lee BY, Bailey RR, Smith KJ, Muder RR, Strotmeyer ES, Lewis GJ, Ufberg PJ, Song Y, Harrison LH. Universal methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) surveillance for adults at hospital admission: an economic model and analysis. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2010 Jun;31(6):598-606. doi: 10.1086/652524. PMID: 20402588; PMCID: PMC3385994.

Lee BY, Bailey RR, Wiringa AE, Afriyie A, Wateska AR, Smith KJ, Zimmerman RK. Economics of employer-sponsored workplace vaccination to prevent pandemic and seasonal influenza.Economics of employer-sponsored workplace vaccination to prevent pandemic and seasonal influenza. Vaccine. 2010 Aug 23;28(37):5952-9. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.07.003. Epub 2010 Jul 8. PMID: 20620168; PMCID: PMC2926133.

Lee BY, Brown ST, Cooley P, Grefenstette JJ, Zimmerman RK, Zimmer SM, Potter MA, Rosenfeld R, Wheaton WD, Wiringa AE, Bacon KM, Burke DS. Vaccination deep into a pandemic wave potential mechanisms for a "third wave" and the impact of vaccination. Am J Prev Med. 2010 Nov;39(5):e21-9. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2010.07.014. PMID: 20965375; PMCID: PMC2975455.

Lee BY, Brown ST, Cooley P, Potter MA, Wheaton WD, Voorhees RE, Stebbins S, Grefenstette JJ, Zimmer SM, Zimmerman RK, Assi TM, Bailey RR, Wagener DK, Burke DS. Simulating school closure strategies to mitigate an influenza epidemic. J Public Health Manag Pract. 2010 May-Jun;16(3):252-61. doi: 10.1097/PHH.0b013e3181ce594e. PMID: 20035236; PMCID: PMC2901099.

Lee BY, Brown ST, Cooley PC, Zimmerman RK, Wheaton WD, Zimmer SM, Grefenstette JJ, Assi TM, Furphy TJ, Wagener DK, Burke DS. A computer simulation of employee vaccination to mitigate an influenza epidemic.Am J Prev Med. 2010 Mar;38(3):247-57. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.11.009. Epub 2009 Dec 30. PMID: 20042311; PMCID: PMC2833347.

Lee BY, Brown ST, Korch GW, Cooley PC, Zimmerman RK, Wheaton WD, Zimmer SM, Grefenstette JJ, Bailey RR, Assi TM, Burke DS. A computer simulation of vaccine prioritization, allocation, and rationing during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic. Vaccine. 2010 Jul 12;28(31):4875-9. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.002. Epub 2010 May 16. PMID: 20483192; PMCID: PMC2906666.

Lee BY, McGlone SM. Pricing of new vaccines. Hum Vaccin. 2010 Aug;6(8):619-26. doi: 10.4161/hv.6.8.11563. PMID: 20861678; PMCID: PMC3056061.

Lee BY, McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Wiringa AE, Zimmer SM, Smith KJ, Zimmerman RK. To test or to treat? An analysis of influenza testing and antiviral treatment strategies using economic computer modeling. PLoS One. 2010 Jun 23;5(6):e11284. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0011284. PMID: 20585642; PMCID: PMC2890406.

Lee BY, McGlone SM, Doi Y, Bailey RR, Harrison LH. Economic impact of Acinetobacter baumannii infection in the intensive care unit. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2010 Oct;31(10):1087-9. doi: 10.1086/656378. PMID: 20804376; PMCID: PMC3387729.

Lee BY, Norman BA, Assi TM, Chen SI, Bailey RR, Rajgopal J, Brown ST, Wiringa AE, Burke DS. Single versus multi-dose vaccine vials: an economic computational model. Vaccine. 2010 Jul 19;28(32):5292-300. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.048. Epub 2010 Jun 3. PMID: 20566395; PMCID: PMC2919154.

Lee BY, Popovich MJ, Tian Y, Bailey RR, Ufberg PJ, Wiringa AE, Muder RR. The potential value of Clostridium difficile vaccine: an economic computer simulation model. Vaccine. 2010 Jul 19;28(32):5245-53. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.062. Epub 2010 Jun 10. PMID: 20541582; PMCID: PMC2908196.

Lee BY, Tai JH, Bailey RR, Smith KJ, Nowalk AJ. Economics of influenza vaccine administration timing for children. Am J Manag Care. 2010 Mar;16(3):e75-e85. PMID: 20205492; PMCID: PMC3763213.

Lee BY, Ufberg PJ, Bailey RR, Wiringa AE, Smith KJ, Nowalk AJ, Higgins C, Wateska AR, Muder RR. The potential economic value of a Staphylococcus aureus vaccine for neonates. Vaccine. 2010 Jun 23;28(29):4653-60. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.04.069. Epub 2010 May 14. PMID: 20472028; PMCID: PMC2896294.

Lee BY, Wateska AR, Bailey RR, Tai JH, Bacon KM, Smith KJ. Forecasting the economic value of an Enterovirus 71 (EV71) vaccine. Vaccine. 2010 Nov 16;28(49):7731-6. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.09.065. Epub 2010 Oct 16. PMID: 20923711; PMCID: PMC2989421.

Lee BY, Wiringa AE, Bailey RR, Goyal V, Lewis GJ, Tsui BY, Smith KJ, Muder RR. Screening cardiac surgery patients for MRSA: an economic computer model. Am J Manag Care. 2010 Jul 1;16(7):e163-73. PMID: 20645662; PMCID: PMC3763192.

Lee BY, Wiringa AE, Bailey RR, Goyal V, Tsui B, Lewis GJ, Muder RR, Harrison LH. The economic effect of screening orthopedic surgery patients preoperatively for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2010 Nov;31(11):1130-8. doi: 10.1086/656591. Erratum in: Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2011 Jan;32(1):99. Harrison, Lee M [corrected to Harrison, Lee H]. PMID: 20923285; PMCID: PMC3482432.

Lee BY, Wiringa AE, Bailey RR, Lewis GJ, Feura J, Muder RR. Staphylococcus aureus vaccine for orthopedic patients: an economic model and analysis. Vaccine. 2010 Mar 11;28(12):2465-71. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.12.075. Epub 2010 Jan 9. PMID: 20064479; PMCID: PMC2833350.

Lee I, Agarwal RK, Lee BY, Fishman NO, Umscheid CA. Systematic review and cost analysis comparing use of chlorhexidine with use of iodine for preoperative skin antisepsis to prevent surgical site infection. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2010 Dec;31(12):1219-29. doi: 10.1086/657134. Epub 2010 Oct 22. PMID: 20969449; PMCID: PMC3833867.

Lessler J, Dos Santos T, Aguilera X, Brookmeyer R; PAHO Influenza Technical Working Group; Cummings DAT. H1N1pdm in the Americas. 2010 Sep;2(3):132-138. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2010.07.001. PMID: 20847900; PMCID: PMC2937282.

Van Kerkhove MD, Asikainen T, Becker NG, Bjorge S, Desenclos JC, dos Santos T, Fraser C, Leung GM, Lipsitch M, Longini IM Jr, McBryde ES, Roth CE, Shay DK, Smith DJ, Wallinga J, White PJ, Ferguson NM, Riley S; WHO Informal Network for Mathematical Modelling for Pandemic Influenza H1N1 2009 (Working Group on Data Needs). Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling. PLoS Med. 2010 Jun 1;7(6):e1000275. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000275. PMID: 20532237; PMCID: PMC2879409.

Shi P, Keskinocak P, Swann JL, Lee BY. Modelling seasonality and viral mutation to predict the course of an influenza pandemic. Epidemiol Infect. 2010 Oct;138(10):1472-81. doi: 10.1017/S0950268810000300. Epub 2010 Feb 17. PMID: 20158932; PMCID: PMC3779923.

Shi P, Keskinocak P, Swann JL, Lee BY. The impact of mass gatherings and holiday traveling on the course of an influenza pandemic: a computational model. BMC Public Health. 2010 Dec 21;10:778. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-10-778. PMID: 21176155; PMCID: PMC3022852.

Shim E, Chapman GB, Galvani AP. Decision making with regard to antiviral intervention during an influenza pandemic. Med Decis Making. 2010 Jul-Aug;30(4):E64-81. doi: 10.1177/0272989X10374112. PMID: 20634545; PMCID: PMC3319452.

Smith KJ, Lee BY, Nowalk MP, Raymund M, Zimmerman RK. Cost-effectiveness of dual influenza and pneumococcal vaccination in 50-year-olds. Vaccine. 2010 Nov 10;28(48):7620-5. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.09.053. Epub 2010 Sep 29. PMID: 20887828; PMCID: PMC2981678.

Zhang Y, Lee BY, Donohue JM. Ambulatory antibiotic use and prescription drug coverage in older adults. Arch Intern Med. 2010 Aug 9;170(15):1308-14. doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2010.235. PMID: 20696953; PMCID: PMC3784024.

Krauland MG, Marsh JW, Paterson DL, Harrison LH. Integron-mediated multidrug resistance in a global collection of nontyphoidal Salmonella enterica isolates. Emerg Infect Dis. 2009 Mar;15(3):388-96. doi: 10.3201/eid1503.081131. PMID: 19239750; PMCID: PMC2666292.

Beigi RH, Bunge K, Song Y, Lee BY. Epidemiologic and economic effect of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in obstetrics. Obstet Gynecol. 2009 May;113(5):983-991. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0b013e3181a116e4. PMID: 19384112.

Beigi RH, Wiringa AE, Bailey RR, Assi TM, Lee BY. Economic value of seasonal and pandemic influenza vaccination during pregnancy. Clin Infect Dis. 2009 Dec 15;49(12):1784-92. doi: 10.1086/649013. PMID: 19911967; PMCID: PMC2887606.

Cauchemez S, Donnelly CA, Reed C, Ghani AC, Fraser C, Kent CK, Finelli L, Ferguson NM. Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States. N Engl J Med. 2009 Dec 31;361(27):2619-27. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0905498. PMID: 20042753; PMCID: PMC3840270.

Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Cauchemez S, Hanage WP, Van Kerkhove MD, Hollingsworth TD, Griffin J, Baggaley RF, Jenkins HE, Lyons EJ, Jombart T, Hinsley WR, Grassly NC, Balloux F, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, Rambaut A, Pybus OG, Lopez-Gatell H, Alpuche-Aranda CM, Chapela IB, Zavala EP, Guevara DM, Checchi F, Garcia E, Hugonnet S, Roth C; WHO Rapid Pandemic Assessment Collaboration. Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings. Science. 2009 Jun 19;324(5934):1557-61. doi: 10.1126/science.1176062. Epub 2009 May 11. PMID: 19433588; PMCID: PMC3735127.

Ghani A, Baguelin M, Griffin J, Flasche S, van Hoek AJ, Cauchemez S, Donnelly C, Robertson C, White M, Truscott J, Fraser C, Garske T, White P, Leach S, Hall I, Jenkins H, Ferguson N, Cooper B. The Early Transmission Dynamics of H1N1pdm Influenza in the United Kingdom. PLoS Curr. 2009 Nov 16;1:RRN1130. doi: 10.1371/currents.RRN1130. PMID: 20029668; PMCID: PMC2780827.

Lee BY, Bailey RR, Wiringa AE, Assi TM, Beigi RH. Antiviral medications for pregnant women for pandemic and seasonal influenza: an economic computer model. Obstet Gynecol. 2009 Nov;114(5):971-980. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0b013e3181bdbfed. PMID: 20168096; PMCID: PMC3388110.

Lee BY, Ercius AK, Smith KJ. A predictive model of the economic effects of an influenza vaccine adjuvant for the older adult (age 65 and over) population. Vaccine. 2009 Apr 6;27(16):2251-7. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.02.024. Epub 2009 Feb 13. PMID: 19428839; PMCID: PMC2954894.

Lee BY, Mehrotra A, Burns RM, Harris KM. Alternative vaccination locations: who uses them and can they increase flu vaccination rates? Vaccine. 2009 Jul 9;27(32):4252-6. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.04.055. Epub 2009 May 9. PMID: 19406181; PMCID: PMC2700851.

Lee BY, Tai JH, Bailey RR, Smith KJ. The timing of influenza vaccination for older adults (65 years and older).Vaccine. 2009 Nov 23;27(50):7110-5. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.09.056. Epub 2009 Sep 26. PMID: 19786135; PMCID: PMC2783217.

Lee BY, Tsui BY, Bailey RR, Smith KJ, Muder RR, Lewis GJ, Harrison LH. Should vascular surgery patients be screened preoperatively for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus? Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2009 Dec;30(12):1158-65. doi: 10.1086/648087. PMID: 19852665; PMCID: PMC3393849.

Lipsitch M, Riley S, Cauchemez S, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM. Managing and reducing uncertainty in an emerging influenza pandemic. N Engl J Med. 2009 Jul 9;361(2):112-5. doi: 10.1056/NEJMp0904380. Epub 2009 May 27. PMID: 19474417; PMCID: PMC3066026.

Shim E, Galvani AP. Impact of transmission dynamics on the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination.Vaccine. 2009 Jun 19;27(30):4025-30. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.04.030. Epub 2009 May 3. PMID: 19389452.

Shim E, Galvani AP. Evolutionary repercussions of avian culling on host resistance and influenza virulence.PLoS One. 2009;4(5):e5503. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0005503. Epub 2009 May 11. PMID: 19430529; PMCID: PMC2675103.

Shim E, Hampson K, Cleaveland S, Galvani AP. Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of rabies post-exposure prophylaxis: a case study in Tanzania. Vaccine. 2009 Nov 27;27(51):7167-72. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.09.027. PMID: 19925948; PMCID: PMC3272373.

Shim E, Kochin B, Galvani A. Insights from epidemiological game theory into gender-specific vaccination against rubella. Math Biosci Eng. 2009 Oct;6(4):839-54. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2009.6.839. PMID: 19835431.

Lee BY. Digital decision making: computer models and antibiotic prescribing in the twenty-first century. Clin Infect Dis. 2008 Apr 15;46(8):1139-41. doi: 10.1086/529441. PMID: 18444847.

Lee BY, Bedford VL, Roberts MS, Carley KM. Virtual epidemic in a virtual city: simulating the spread of influenza in a US metropolitan area. Transl Res. 2008 Jun;151(6):275-87. doi: 10.1016/j.trsl.2008.02.004. Epub 2008 Apr 3. PMID: 18514138; PMCID: PMC2753587.